Did anyone really expect that ultimately
we would see anything but the military taking over in Egypt? Really?
A year ago the world of theorists,
academics and media commentators rejoiced that the “evil” dictator Hosni
Mubarak had been overthrown in a popular revolution driven, as the world press
was quick to point out, by Facebook and Twitter.
The Arab Spring, as the faux revolution
was known, was supposed to herald a whole new era in both Egypt and the Middle
East in general. Democracy, and by extension human rights, were breaking out
everywhere and, if you listened to the pundits, it was only a matter of time
until the entire Middle East would be democratic – war on terrorism over.
A year ago the Muslim Brotherhood in
Egypt backed its candidate in an internationally forced election that saw
Mohammed Morsi become “the first elected president in 5000 years of Egyptian
history.” For many in the world it was job done – move on, nothing to see here.
If there was one group in Egypt who
understood its people better than any foreign pundit it was the military. When
Mubarak’s almost 40 year reign of a secular Egypt was challenged by marches in
the street the military stood down and allowed events to unfold. The tanks stayed on the military bases. When
the people demanded elections the military supported both the process and the
result. Again the tanks stayed on the military bases.
Let us be really clear. The winner of
last year’s election, the Muslim Brotherhood, is not a benevolent political
party that we would recognize in the West. The Brotherhood is focused on
bringing a Sharia based legal system to the most important economy in the
Middle East. The Brotherhood’s political and social goals for Egypt 10 years
from now? Think Iran.
Egypt proved the old maxim that “the
first election in a country is easy – the second one is much more difficult.”
The reality is that elections do not equal democracy. A functioning democracy is
based on a fundamental belief in the very system itself. For a democracy to
work the people must trust that the entire process is fair and will reflect the
will of the people. Democracies do not
spring whole from the earth – they are grown and nurtured over 100’s of years.
So, was the Muslim Brotherhood building and
nurturing a democracy? No, they were going in exactly the opposite direction.
Christians and Jews living in Egypt were put on warning - they were not welcome
in the new Egypt. Opposition parties were told the same thing. The real power
was the Brotherhood –not democracy. Want a tangible example? There is a law in
Egypt that it is illegal to make fun of the President. Morsi enforced the law
more often in one year that Mubarak did in his entire time in power.
Finally, the Egyptian Army had had
enough. This week, in support of millions of Egyptians again pouring into the
streets, the army finally acted. However, what was lost in the caterwauling of
the international media, was the fact that the Army acted in a deliberate and
balanced manner.
In a bloodless transition of power the
Army removed Morsi from power for failure to act in the interests of the
majority of Egyptians. Continuing its efforts in support the Egyptian people
the Army did no install on of its own as acting President – it named the head
of the country’s Supreme Court to the Presidency.
There are two realities in what happened
this week in Egypt. 1) Egypt is not a
democracy and was not heading to become one and 2) what happened this week in
Egypt was not a coup. It was a revolution.