Now
before we go too far into this let’s be very clear - I am not taking sides.
Both the Republicans and the Democrats had political reasons to want to see a
shutdown. Both sides see victory in the upcoming election in 2014 by blaming
the other for the supposed mess. Based on that alone there was little real
chance a deal could be brokered prior to the Oct 1 deadline.
So,
last Tuesday the US government shutdown.
Well, sort of and there’s the rub. If either side is to gain victory
from the shutdown it is necessary to have an angry population calling for the
responsible parties figurative head on a pole. Then the other side can be blamed
and elections won.
We
simply don’t know. Despite all of the
dire warnings of murder and mayhem in the street without a strong federal
government Americans found that Tuesday looked pretty much like Monday and
Wednesday was going to look a lot like Tuesday.
Yes,
certain departments did shutdown but, in reality, most did not. Successive generations
of American politicians, on both sides of the aisle, fearful of an angry electorate
have quietly declared larger and larger parts of the government essential
services and immune to shut down.
Out
of the entire US government only 800,000 US federal workers were sent home. For
most Americas it was a faceless 800,000. Civilian workers in the military were
the largest single group sent home. The problem for both Democrats and
Republicans was that the public had very
little contact with those military workers. Unless you were married to, or
lived next door to a US military civilian employee it might be years before you
realized they were not working.
Even
this fell apart as the Pentagon realized that the President and Congress had
recently signed a law into effect that declared civilian workers were exempt from a shutdown.
By today (Oct 7) 320,000 or so bodies were heading back to work.
The
next group to be most impacted was the Internal Revenue Service, the tax
people. 85,000 of them were sent home to
watch bad daytime TV. If politicians were hoping people would notice that the
IRS was closed and complain about it they will have a long wait. Most people
would be happy if the IRS never, ever opened again.
Who
were the last 350,000 or so US government workers not showing up on Tuesday? CNN
developed what is probably the best resource of who is open and who is not. The
majority of the 350,000 have a role in setting and enforcing rules and regulations.
Like the IRS, is anyone really going to complain the dairy inspector is not
coming around?
What
is getting paid in the US is just about everything else. When an American goes
to their mailbox to get their government cheque it will be there delivered by
the US postal office. Want to talk to your Congressman – sure - because he/she
is being paid. In almost every case the face to face contact with US citizens
has been declared essential services so they just keep chugging on.
So
where is the political risk? Well, perhaps it is in 350,000 angry federal
employees not getting paid and extracting revenge at election time for one
party or the other. Nope. Congress and President Obama have so far agreed on
one thing and one thing only. Any federal employees who are not working will
get full back pay when they return to work. In my books that is a paid holiday.
In
a vain effort to prove government is important the US is left with blocking
veterans from visiting war monuments, shutting down the Amber alert systems and
blocking people from taking pictures of Mt Rushmore – even at a distance.
This
could go on for a long time – or until the US government hits the debt ceiling
– whichever comes first.